Match Info

National League South - Round 40

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Chippenham Town		Eastbourne Borough

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.95	3.5	3.4
	2.04	3.61	3.35
	2	3.74	3.31	Watch
	2	3.5	3.3
	1.98	3.73	3.37
	2.2	3.4	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.33)	3.55 ↓ (3.78)	3.26 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
45.9%

Draw
25.9%

Eastbourne Borough
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

24.6%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.9%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chippenham Town's performance.

Eastbourne Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eastbourne Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eastbourne Borough than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eastbourne Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Chippenham will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chippenham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Phillips B. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Bradbury C. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Angol L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 3 - 1, Evans J. ⚽,
73', 4 - 1, Haines L. ⚽,
78', 5 - 1, Chukwu A. ⚽,
82', 5 - 2, Mullins M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 24 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 2.

Recent performances by Chippenham have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Eastbourne has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Chippenham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Eastbourne Borough - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
14.03.26	Dover Athletic - Chippenham Town	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	3:2 ✺
07.03.26	Chippenham Town - Enfield Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Chippenham Town - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
25.02.26	Farnborough - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWL
- Eastbourne Borough
English National League South
14.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Maidenhead United	0:1 ✺
10.03.26	Eastbourne Borough - Ebbsfleet United	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Salisbury - Eastbourne Borough	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Eastbourne Borough	1:2 ✺
24.02.26	Eastbourne Borough - Dorking Wanderers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.11.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	2:2
08.03.25	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	4:1
09.11.24	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	3:0
13.04.24	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	3:0
04.11.23	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	4:2
25.03.23	Chippenham Town - Eastbourne Borough	1:1
03.12.22	Eastbourne Borough - Chippenham Town	2:1

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