Match Info

National League South - Round 16

Date: 4 November 2025, Tuesday


	Chippenham Town		Salisbury

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.45	2.25
	2.67	3.73	2.34
	3.06	3.57	2.13	Watch
	2.78	3.36	2.26
	2.8	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.06)	3.5 ↓ (3.57)	2.23 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chippenham Town
32.6%

Draw
26.2%

Salisbury
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chippenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chippenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Chippenham Town - Salisbury Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Taylor M. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Briggs M. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', 2 - 2, Sady H. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Chippenham is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Salisbury has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Salisbury has had a series of home games.

Salisbury will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chippenham won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chippenham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chippenham Town
English National League South
01.11.25	Chesham United - Chippenham Town	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Chippenham Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:1 ✺
21.10.25	Torquay United - Chippenham Town	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Chippenham Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Salisbury FC
English National League South
01.11.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Salisbury - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.01.25	Chippenham Town - Salisbury	0:1
21.09.24	Salisbury - Chippenham Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
29.10.16	Salisbury - Chippenham Town	2:3

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