Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Red Bull Arena (Harrison, NJ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Chivas Guadalajara		New York Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.63	Watch
	2.3	3.25	2.6
	2.45	3.4	2.72
	2.58	3.49	2.74
	2.25	3.2	2.8
	2.53	3.4	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.34)	3.37 ↓ (3.52)	2.69 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chivas Guadalajara
38.1%

Draw
27.5%

New York Red Bulls
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.8%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chivas Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Chivas Guadalajara - New York Red Bulls Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Guadalajara (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rangel R. (G) 37. Ledezma R. 3. Sepulveda G. 21. Castillo J. 23. Aguirre D. 17. Romo L. 15. Gutierrez E. 5. Gonzalez B. 25. Alvarado R. 10. Alvarez E. 9. Pulido A.	1. Marcucci A. (G) 12. Nealis D. 15. Nealis S. 26. Parker T. 44. Edwards R. 8. Stroud P. 48. Donkor R. 79. Mosquera R. 19. Carmona W. 37. Sofo M. 16. Hall J.
Substitutes
26. Camberos H. 19. Campillo Del Campo D. 7. Cowell C. 30. Garcia E. (G) 24. Gomez M. 34. Gonzalez A. 28. Gonzalez F. 2. Mozo A. 18. Olivas Salcedo L. A. 31. Padilla Y. 13. Whalley O. (G) 29. Wilke T.	7. Bogacz W. 31. Carlos Coronel (G) 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 6. Duncan K. 75. Edelman D. 3. Eile N. 10. Forsberg E. 22. Gjengaar D. 42. Hack A. 81. Ngoma S. 21. Stokes A. (G) 5. Valencia O.
Coaches
Milito G.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sepulveda G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Carmona W. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
59', Sepulveda G. ↓, Campillo Del Campo D. ↑,
59', Pulido A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
59', Nealis D. ↓, Duncan K. ↑,
59', Mosquera R. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
65', Alvarez E. ↓, Mozo A. ↑,
65', Ledezma R. ↓, Cowell C. ↑,
69', Duncan K. 🟨,
70', Rangel R. 🟨,
74', Hall J. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
78', Gutierrez E. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
90+2', Parker T. ↓, Eile N. ↑,
90+6', Aguirre D. 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 1, Forsberg E. ⚽,

Preview

NY Red Bulls is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Guadalajara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Atlético San Luis	4:3 ✺
19.07.25	Club León - Chivas Guadalajara	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.06.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Santos Laguna	2:2 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
19.04.25	Atlas - Chivas Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
15.04.25	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTTW
- New York Red Bulls
MLS
26.07.25	Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	New York Red Bulls - Inter Miami	1:5 ✺
16.07.25	New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution	5:3 ✺
12.07.25	Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
05.07.25	San Jose Earthquakes - New York Red Bulls	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
10.04.18	New York Red Bulls - Chivas Guadalajara	0:0
04.04.18	Chivas Guadalajara - New York Red Bulls	1:0

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