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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 63.5%
Draw 19.5%
New York Red Bulls 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58%
21.8%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.2%
21%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chicago Fire's performance.
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Chicago Fire - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 16. Waterman J. 3. Elliott J. (C) 15. Gutman A. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 42. D'Avilla D. 6. Saletros A. 11. Zinckernagel P. 9. Cuypers H. 19. Bamba J.
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. 26. Parker T. 6. Voloder R. 56. Dos Santos M. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 10. Forsberg E. 7. Cowell C. 16. Hall J. 11. Ruvalcaba J.
Substitutes
27. Borso D. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 4. Mbokazi M. 8. Mueller C. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J.
39. Benedetti N. 4. Berggren G. 2. Che J. 13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 79. Mosquera R. 37. Sofo M. 5. Valencia O.
Coaches
Barcena M.
Bradley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Voloder R. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Ruvalcaba J. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hall J. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Cowell C. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
60', Forsberg E. ↓, Berggren G. ↑,
61', Bamba J. ↓, Dithejane P. ↑,
73', Cowell C. ↓, Mosquera R. ↑,
73', Dos Santos M. ↓, Valencia O. ↑,
80', Saletros A. ↓, Oregel S. ↑,
80', Dean J. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
80', D'Avilla D. ↓, Pineda M. ↑,
80', Voloder R. ↓, Che J. ↑,
81', 0 - 3, Choupo-Moting E. M. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Haile-Selassie M. 🟨,
81', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
85', Haile-Selassie M. ↓, Borso D. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Nealis D. (Own goal),
90+6', Valencia O. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
Chicago has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
NY Red Bulls has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Chicago is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
Rogers S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Che J.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.2:1.4).
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Brady C. (G) 
Waterman J. 
Elliott J. (C) 
Haile-Selassie M. 
D'Avilla D. 
Saletros A. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Cuypers H. 
Voloder R. 
Donkor R. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Dithejane P. 
Radojevic V. 
Benedetti N. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Mosquera R. 
Barcena M. 
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