The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chivas Guadalajara 73.8%
Draw 17.1%
Tijuana 9.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
22.9%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
22.3%
15.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chivas Guadalajara's performance.
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tijuana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chivas Guadalajara that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tijuana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chivas Guadalajara - Tijuana Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Guadalajara (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guadalajara (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Felix Castro B. M. (G) 46. Alvarado E. 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 14. De La Rosa J. 15. Esquivias I. 11. Franco Y. 3. Godinez D. 8. Jaramillo C. 7. Montero C. 9. Valenzuela G.
1. Madueno A. (G) 7. Borgella R. 2. Diaz K. 3. Enrigue J. 24. Fong M. 10. Hancar K. 9. Magaia H. 8. Marroquin A. M. 17. Motau A. 4. Ojeda D. 28. Quintos B.
Substitutes
19. Delgado D. 1. Espino C. (G) 20. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 25. Montoya J. 30. Salazar E. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G. 26. Torres A. 17. Villarreal N.
22. Bautista E. 12. Ceja K. 26. Claiborne A. 25. Cota R. (G) 16. Curiel A. 11. Fuentes D. 21. Hernandez I. 14. Huerta A. 18. Martinez N. 19. Munguia Haros M.
Coaches
Contreras A.
Romo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Borgella R. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Castro D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', De La Rosa J. ↓, Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↑,
66', Motau A. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
73', Castro D. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Montoya J. ⚽,
77', Fong M. ↓, Curiel A. ↑,
83', Cervantes A. ↓, Sandoval Trejo D. G. ↑,
83', Valenzuela G. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
85', Alvarado E. 🟨,
86', Hancar K. ↓, Ceja K. ↑,
86', Marroquin A. M. ↓, Claiborne A. ↑,
86', 🟨,
88', Quintos B. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 2.
Guadalajara is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tijuana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Guadalajara is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Guadalajara won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
Mexico
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Felix Castro B. M. (G) 
Borgella R. 
Hancar K. 
Magaia H. 
Ojeda D. 
Fuentes D. 
Martinez N. 
Contreras A. 
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