Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 23

Date: 10 March 2023, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930 (Chojnice)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport Extra


	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	2.05
	3.4	3.1	2.1
	3.25	3.35	2.1
	3.3	3.2	2.11
	3.71	3.28	2.13
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.48	3.34	2.05	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.71)	3.26 ↓ (3.44)	2.07 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
26.9%

Draw
28.4%

Ruch Chorzów
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

26.7%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

26%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ruch Chorzów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	25%	58.3%

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Chojniczanka will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Ruch Chorzów will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ruch Chorzów: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa).

Recent matches Chojniczanka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ruch Chorzów is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ruch Chorzów will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chojniczanka won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Chojniczanka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 1
05.03.23	Stal Rzeszów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
26.02.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Puszcza Niepołomice	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Chrobry Głogów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	3:1 ✺
13.02.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.01.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Górnik Łęczna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTLWW
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
05.03.23	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
26.02.23	Ruch Chorzów - Stal Rzeszów	2:0 ✺
17.02.23	Puszcza Niepołomice - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
11.02.23	Ruch Chorzów - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.23	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
15.08.22	Ruch Chorzów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
Polish Division 2
21.03.22	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
03.09.21	Ruch Chorzów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:1
Polish Division 1
11.04.18	Ruch Chorzów - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1
27.08.17	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Ruch Chorzów	4:3

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