Match Info

Division 1 - Round 19

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion GKS Górnik Łęczna (Leczna)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Górnik Łęczna		Ruch Chorzów

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.78	3.55	2.28	Watch
	2.9	3.65	2.35
	2.82	3.66	2.29	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.25
	2.82	3.38	2.23	Watch
	2.75	3.6	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.06)	3.51 ↓ (3.52)	2.28 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Łęczna
33%

Draw
26.4%

Ruch Chorzów
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

26.4%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

25.7%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Łęczna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ruch Chorzów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ruch Chorzów than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ruch Chorzów (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ruch Chorzów (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pindroch B. (G) 21. Bednarczyk J. 14. Szabaciuk F. 4. Jaroszynski P. 23. Ogaga D. 10. Deja A. 8. Kryeziu E. (C) 22. Orlik K. 11. Tkacz D. 17. Spacil B. 95. Janaszek F.	33. Gradecki B. (G) 15. Konczkowski M. 17. Lukic A. 28. Lesniak-Paduch N. 38. Karasinski S. 27. Szwoch M. 18. Nagamatsu S. 20. Szymanski S. (C) 77. Ceglarz P. 7. Kolar M. 21. Szwedzik P.
Substitutes
30. Akhmedov B. 13. Bojanczyk K. 5. Broda M. 53. Budzilek L. (G) 6. David Abbott G. 88. Osipiuk O. 86. Rafa Santos 47. Steszuk M. 7. Traore S.	82. Bielecki J. (G) 99. Dyduch K. 2. Imiolek K. 24. Komor A. 29. Lachendro F. 14. Nono 5. Rosol M. 30. Sobeczko J. 25. Ventura D.
Coaches
Rusek D.	Fornalik W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Szwedzik P. ⚽,
37', Szabaciuk F. 🟨,
39', Orlik K. 🟨,
45+8', Ogaga D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Ogaga D. ↓, David Abbott G. ↑,
65', Spacil B. 🟨,
71', Ceglarz P. ↓, Ventura D. ↑,
74', Tkacz D. ↓, Bojanczyk K. ↑,
86', Spacil B. ↓, Rafa Santos ↑,
86', Janaszek F. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
90+2', Karasinski S. ↓, Komor A. ↑,
90+6', Lukic A. 🟨,
90+9', Nagamatsu S. 🟨,
90+10', Jaroszynski P. 🟨,
90+10', Konczkowski M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 1.

Górnik Łęczna has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ruch Chorzów is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Ruch Chorzów has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Łęczna
Polish Division 1
28.11.25	Polonia Bytom - Górnik Łęczna	2:2 ✺
23.11.25	Górnik Łęczna - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Górnik Łęczna - Legia II	0:1 ✺
Polish Division 1
09.11.25	Odra Opole - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Górnik Łęczna - Polonia Warsaw	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLLL
- Ruch Chorzów
Polish Division 1
29.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Ruch Chorzów - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Ruch Chorzów - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	Odra Opole - Ruch Chorzów	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
27.07.25	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	2:1
29.03.25	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	2:0
31.08.24	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	3:2
05.03.23	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	1:1
11.08.22	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
Polish Division 2
01.12.18	Ruch Chorzów - Górnik Łęczna	1:1
11.08.18	Górnik Łęczna - Ruch Chorzów	5:1

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