Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 11

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday


	Épinal		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.4	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.7	3.4	2.09
	3.7	3.38	2.09
	3.25	3.3	2
	3.45	3.45	1.99	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↓ (3.63)	3.38 ↑ (3.35)	2.04 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Épinal
27.3%

Draw
27.4%

Le Mans
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.4%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

26.3%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Épinal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Le Mans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Épinal than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Épinal - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: Le Mans will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ben Boina S. (G) 28. Aljic M. 11. Camara I. 6. Chere S. 2. Leonard P. 9. Lepaul E. 22. Luvualu D. 17. M'Madi A. 20. Niang A. 15. Umbdenstock I. 4. Zogba M.	16. Kocik N. (G) 11. Aiko M. 18. Boussaid M. 25. Gueye D. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 29. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 5. Voyer H. 17. Yohou S. (C)
Substitutes
8. Colin J. 10. Doumbia N. 5. Laurent M. 3. Mazzei R. 16. Salhi D. (G)	21. Eyoum T. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 22. Njoh L. 27. Rossignol M. 19. Vincent A.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Épinal is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Le Mans is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Le Mans will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Épinal FC
French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Dijon - Épinal	4:1 ✺
06.10.23	Épinal - Rouen FC	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Épinal	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Épinal - Martigues	0:0 ✺
15.09.23	Niort - Épinal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLTL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
11.10.23	Le Mans - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Martigues - Le Mans	4:0 ✺
29.09.23	Le Mans - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	GOAL FC - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Le Mans - Red Star	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL

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