Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 12

Date: 3 November 2023, Friday


	Avranches		Le Mans

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.25
	2.8	3.3	2.4	Watch
	3.03	3.45	2.42
	3.03	3.33	2.42
	2.62	3.3	2.25
	2.88	3.13	2.42	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.64)	3.27 ↑ (3.21)	2.35 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avranches
32.6%

Draw
28.2%

Le Mans
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

29.2%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

29.9%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avranches has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avranches than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Avranches - Le Mans Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Avranches will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Le Mans will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Beuve A. (G) 23. Daguin V. 3. Fofana S. 20. Kerouedan A. 2. Launay B. 4. Lemeray M. 14. Pierre L. 5. Rabuel M. 21. Remars M. 6. Smith J. 24. Tertereau A.	16. Kocik N. (G) 11. Aiko M. 18. Boussaid M. 6. Coutadeur M. 21. Eyoum T. 10. Le Mehaute Y. 29. Quarshie E. 9. Rabillard A. 12. Ribelin A. 20. Vargas-Rios H. 17. Yohou S.
Substitutes
29. Bansais D. 28. Fage R. 10. Magnon P. 16. Mensah C. (G) 7. Nsimba S.	25. Gueye D. 1. Hatfout E. (G) 27. Rossignol M. 28. Smith J. 19. Vincent A.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Avranches won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Avranches won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Avranches won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Avranches
French Ligue 3
23.10.23	Rouen FC - Avranches	0:0 ✺
11.10.23	Avranches - Martigues	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Sochaux - Avranches	2:1 ✺
29.09.23	Avranches - GOAL FC	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Red Star - Avranches	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTL
- Le Mans FC
French Ligue 3
20.10.23	Épinal - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
11.10.23	Le Mans - Rouen FC	0:1 ✺
06.10.23	Martigues - Le Mans	4:0 ✺
29.09.23	Le Mans - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
22.09.23	GOAL FC - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
10.03.23	Avranches - Le Mans	4:0
30.09.22	Le Mans - Avranches	3:0
06.05.22	Le Mans - Avranches	1:3
29.01.22	Avranches - Le Mans	0:1
16.04.21	Le Mans - Avranches	1:1
30.11.20	Avranches - Le Mans	0:2
11.01.19	Avranches - Le Mans	0:2

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