Match Info

FRANCE: NATIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 29 March 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Pierre Blouen (Cholet)


	Cholet		Red Star

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.77
	4.2	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.52	3.54	1.81
	4.53	3.54	1.82
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.16	3.54	1.8	Watch
	4	3.35	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.23 ↓ (5.5)	3.45 ↓ (3.6)	1.79 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet
21.8%

Draw
26.7%

Red Star
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

25%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16%

24.6%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cholet's performance.

Red Star has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Red Star might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cholet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Red Star could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cholet - Red Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Secchi T. (G) 39. Dembele A. 23. Experience M. 21. Hafidi H. 12. Jarju Y. 15. Monzango N. 7. Najim I. 11. Ouattara M. 6. Renaud T. 14. Santini J. 4. Seba D.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 29. Benali H. 17. Botella I. 11. Cisse K. 35. Doucoure R. 5. Gozzi P. 3. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 28. Kouagba L. 25. Ndoye C. 14. Slimani R.
Substitutes
40. Ba O. (G) 24. Diop A. 27. Drame I. 17. Gameiro A. 9. Mosset A. 25. Robinand J. 20. Thiam A.	27. Anani A. 13. Doucoure F. 9. Fall A. 23. Ikanga J. 2. Meyapya B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Hafidi H. ↓, Mosset A. ↑,
39', Jarju Y. 🟨,
43', Santini J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Jarju Y. ⚽,
58', Slimani R. ↓, Ikanga J. ↑,
58', Botella I. ↓, Fall A. ↑,
59', Ouattara M. ↓, Gameiro A. ↑,
77', Cisse K. ↓, Doucoure F. ↑,
82', 1 - 1, Benali H. (Pen),
85', Najim I. ↓, Diop A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1.

Recent matches Cholet is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Red Star is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Red Star is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cholet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 7-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Cholet won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Orleans - Cholet	1:2 ✺
15.03.24	Cholet - Versailles	0:1 ✺
08.03.24	Nîmes - Cholet	2:1 ✺
01.03.24	Cholet - Dijon	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Marignane Gignac Côte Bleue - Cholet	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WLLWL
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 3
22.03.24	Red Star - Nancy	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	Villefranche - Red Star	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Red Star - Châteauroux	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Avranches - Red Star	0:0 ✺
27.02.24	Red Star - GOAL FC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
23.10.23	Red Star - Cholet	2:0
12.05.23	Red Star - Cholet	1:2
06.01.23	Cholet - Red Star	1:4
11.03.22	Cholet - Red Star	0:1
01.10.21	Red Star - Cholet	4:2
17.04.21	Red Star - Cholet	3:0
28.11.20	Cholet - Red Star	0:2

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