Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 3

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Ceibeño (La Ceiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Victoria La Ceiba		CD Marathón

	1	X	2
	4.65	3.7	1.6
	4.87	3.65	1.65
	4.89	3.77	1.67	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.65
	4.99	3.58	1.61
	4.75	3.4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↓ (5.35)	3.58 ↓ (4.08)	1.64 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria La Ceiba
18.9%

Draw
25.4%

CD Marathón
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

22.8%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria La Ceiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Perello M. (G) 28. Barrios A. 3. Barrios O. 23. Bueso G. 48. Card S. 20. Espinal M. 33. Garcia J. 8. Kelly K. 19. Lahera Y. 6. Matute C. 4. Oliva E.	1. Rougier J. (G) 3. Bodden K. 79. Castillo R. 26. Elvir S. 54. Fernandez J. 2. Figueroa H. (C) 5. Martinez Hernandez F. E. 6. Orellana A. 27. Perez C. 10. Ramirez D. 21. Ramos O.
Substitutes
9. Blackburn R. 1. Flores E. (G) 70. Izaguirre J. 32. Monico D. 49. Navarro L. 16. Portillo A. 38. Ramirez L. 65. Sevilla L. 29. Suazo O. 30. Vaquedano B.	35. Alvarado 60. Arriaga L. 7. Castillo I. 11. Messiniti N. 43. Montoya L. 13. Moya B. 22. Nunez M. 30. Sacaza C. 23. Samudio C. (G) 8. Sorto Caballero T. A. 17. Vega Orellana A. N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Barrios O. 🟨,
32', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
41', Figueroa H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Garcia J. ↓, Suazo O. ↑,
46', Barrios O. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
46', Kelly K. ↓, Ramirez L. ↑,
46', Fernandez J. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
62', Ramos O. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
62', Perez C. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,
62', Lahera Y. ↓, Blackburn R. ↑,
67', 🟨,
69', Card S. 🟨,
72', Card S. ↓, Monico D. ↑,
73', Espinal M. 🟨,
76', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
89', Ramirez D. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 1.

Marathón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marathón is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marathon	8	5	2	1	14:6	8	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria La Ceiba
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Platense - Victoria La Ceiba	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	Olimpia awarded ✺
02.12.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	4:1 ✺
26.11.25	Juticalpa - Victoria La Ceiba	3:4 ✺
22.11.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Génesis PN	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.4 T?WWW
- CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional
28.01.26	CD Marathón - Juticalpa	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	CD Marathón - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	2:2 ✺
28.12.25	CD Marathón - Olancho	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
27.09.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	2:2
24.07.25	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:3
10.05.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	0:1 penalties
07.05.25	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	0:0
13.03.25	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	1:4
25.01.25	CD Marathón - Victoria La Ceiba	0:1
29.09.24	Victoria La Ceiba - CD Marathón	3:0

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