Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ruben Deras (Choloma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Honduras	Deportes TV


	Choloma		Lobos UPNFM

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.3	2.98
	2.47	3.59	2.52
	2.58	3.14	2.75	Watch
	5	3.75	1.53
	2.55	3.1	2.7
	2.3	3.33	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (5.7)	3.37 ↓ (4.06)	2.52 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Choloma
33.7%

Draw
28.4%

Lobos UPNFM
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

22.9%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Choloma's performance.

Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lobos UPNFM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Choloma - Lobos UPNFM Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Choloma will win (votes: 14 - 93.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Choloma: 80.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Choloma (1.64) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Choloma (2.45) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DNB - Lobos UPNFM (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Lobos UPNFM (2.67) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Choloma will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Choloma (votes: 19 - 76%). Lobos UPNFM (votes: 6 - 24%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Pineda J. (G) 13. Aceituno M. 2. Barrios B. 50. Bermudez J. 12. Chavez Y. 4. Cordova J. 27. Fernandez C. 22. Florez E. 5. Franco J. 17. Quejada J. 8. Rocha D.	12. Guity A. (G) 22. Ardon C. 26. Banzzety J. 30. Herrlein L. 20. Lopez E. 2. Lopez L. 4. Medina L. 11. Moreira R. (C) 8. Nunez J. 27. Pena K. 3. Rodas Andrino G. J.
Substitutes
35. Alvarado 20. Arias I. 28. Barrios J. 15. Canales C. 10. Canales J. . Castillo H. 3. Martinez S. 25. Padilla G. 26. Ramos G. 6. Suazo J.	61. Aleman A. 50. Alvarenga M. 19. Amador E. 13. Gutierrez C. 17. Padilla J. 6. Ponce J. 9. Rochez J. 1. Valladares C. (G) 5. Zuniga A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

Lobos UPNFM is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Choloma won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Choloma won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	UPNFM	8	2	2	4	7:12	-5	8
11	Choloma	8	2	1	5	6:8	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.01.26	Juticalpa - Choloma	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Choloma - Olancho	0:4 ✺
02.12.25	Victoria La Ceiba - Choloma	4:1 ✺
27.11.25	Choloma - CD Marathón	0:4 ✺
21.11.25	Choloma - Platense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lobos UPNFM
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.01.26	Lobos UPNFM - CD Marathón	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lobos UPNFM - Real España	0:0 ✺
04.12.25	CD Marathón - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
27.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Motagua	0:0 ✺
22.11.25	Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
14.10.25	Choloma - Lobos UPNFM	5:1
03.08.25	Lobos UPNFM - Choloma	2:2

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