Match Info

Super League - Round 26

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Longxing Football Stadium (Chongqing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Chongqing Tongliang Long		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.60	2.10	Watch
	2.95	3.50	2.10
	3.25	3.45	2.10	Watch
	3.18	3.75	2.26
	2.97	3.66	2.2	Watch
	3.15	3.50	2.20
	3.09	3.67	2.11	Watch
	2.90	3.45	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↓ (3.32)	3.57 ↓ (3.69)	2.15 ↑ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chongqing Tongliang Long
30.6%

Draw
26%

Shanghai Shenhua
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

25.3%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

24%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chongqing Tongliang Long has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chongqing Tongliang Long than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	16.7%	66.7%

Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chongqing will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chongqing (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 24. Liu Mingshi 33. Lucao 32. Ngadeu M. 3. Zhang Yingkai 8. Li Zhenquan 9. Cimpanu G. 18. Liang Weipeng 10. Amadou I. 7. Xiang Yuwang (C) 11. Dimata L.	1. Xue Qinghao (G) 13. Manafa W. 6. Li Songyi 5. Zhu Chenjie 16. Yang Zexiang 17. Gao Tianyi 33. Wang Haijian 15. Wu Xi (C) 30. Xie Pengfei 19. Asue L. 9. Rafael Ratao
Substitutes
15. Chen Chunxin 19. Du Yuezheng 26. He Xiaoqiang 6. Jin Pengxiang 21. Liu Jiale 17. Ng Yu-Hei 38. Ruan Qilong 37. Wei Suowei 27. Wu Yongqiang 31. Wu Zitong (G) 4. Yue Ruijie 16. Zhang Zhixiong	45. Han Jiawen 3. Jin Shunkai 18. Liu Chengyu 24. Ma Zhen (G) 39. Sun D. (G) 10. Teixeira J. 2. Wang Shilong 38. Wu Qipeng 21. Xu Haoyang 43. Yang Haoyu 26. Yang Shuai 25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Liu Jianye	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Asue L. ⚽, Gao Tianyi (A),
11', 0 - 2, Gao Tianyi ⚽, Wu Xi (A),
19', Yang Zexiang 🟨,
45+3', Amadou I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Liang Weipeng ↓, Ng Yu-Hei ↑,
56', Li Zhenquan ↓, Du Yuezheng ↑,
56', Amadou I. ↓, Ruan Qilong ↑,
57', Xiang Yuwang ↓, Zhang Zhixiong ↑,
65', Liu Mingshi ↓, Wei Suowei ↑,
71', Xie Pengfei ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
71', Gao Tianyi ↓, Yang Haoyu ↑,
82', Asue L. ↓, Liu Chengyu ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Yang Haoyu ⚽, Manafa W. (A),
90+1', Yang Zexiang ↓, Wang Shilong ↑,
90+1', Rafael Ratao ↓, Jin Shunkai ↑,
90+4', 1 - 3, Ngadeu M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 9).

Chongqing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Shanghai Shenhua has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chongqing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shanghai Shenhua could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Shanghai Shenhua: Jiang Shenglong (Illness) Ke L. (Injury) Liu Chengyu (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Chongqing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31
10	Chongqing Tonglianglong	26	7	10	9	27:32	-5	31

Last Results with these Odds

Shanghai Shenhua - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 46.51%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chongqing Tongliang Long
Chinese FA Cup
02.09.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
29.08.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Dalian Young Boy	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Qingdao West Coast - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:0 ✺
09.08.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Port	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTLTL
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese FA Cup
01.09.26	Dalian Young Boy - Shanghai Shenhua	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
28.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan	2:3 ✺
22.08.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shanghai Shenhua	4:5 ✺
18.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
09.05.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Chongqing Tongliang Long	2:2
Chinese FA Cup
30.08.23	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shanghai Shenhua	0:2

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