Match Info

Super League - Round 18

Date: 18 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Spain	Gol Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Shanghai Shenhua		Beijing Guoan

	1	X	2
	1.96	4.1	3.1	Watch
	2.10	3.75	2.75
	2.02	3.8	3	Watch
	2.09	4.05	3.38
	2.16	3.96	2.86	Watch
	2	3.95	3.3
	2.06	3.96	3.24	Watch
	2.07	4	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.31)	3.95 ↓ (3.98)	3.09 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shanghai Shenhua
45.7%

Draw
23.8%

Beijing Guoan
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

23.5%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

24%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shanghai Shenhua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shanghai Shenhua's performance.

Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beijing Guoan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Asue L.
27. Chan Shinichi
17. Gao Tianyi
3. Jin Shunkai
13. Manafa W.
9. Rafael Ratao
33. Wang Haijian
15. Wu Xi (C)
1. Xue Qinghao (G)
21. Xu Haoyang
5. Zhu Chenjie
Substitutes
45. Han Jiawen
36. Huang Ming
24. Ma Zhen (G)
2. Wang Shilong
38. Wu Qipeng
30. Xie Pengfei
43. Yang Haoyu
26. Yang Shuai
16. Yang Zexiang
25. Zhu Yue
Coaches
. Slutski L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Wu Xi 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Ramos G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Dawhan 🟨,
62', Yang Liyu ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
62', Yue Tze-Nam ↓, Wang Gang ↑,
64', Wang Haijian ↓, Saulo Mineiro ↑,
68', Li Songyi 🟨,
73', 0 - 2, Cao Yongjing ⚽, Abreu F. (A),
74', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
76', Bai Yang ↓, Li Lei ↑,
81', Gao Tianyi ↓, Xu Haoyang ↑,
81', Chan Shinichi ↓, Yang Zexiang ↑,
81', Asue L. ↓, Xie Pengfei ↑,
81', Cao Yongjing ↓, Jia Feifan ↑,
83', Hou Sen 🟨,
85', Li Lei 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Zhang Xizhe ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
88', Teixeira J. ↓, Wu Qipeng ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai Shenhua won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Beijing Guoan	26	11	10	5	49:33	16	38
8	Shanghai Shenhua	26	12	5	9	52:46	6	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
15.08.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:1 ✺
08.08.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Shanghai Shenhua	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Liaoning Tieren - Shanghai Shenhua	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Shanghai Port - Shanghai Shenhua	2:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Qingdao Hainiu	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLLW
- Beijing Guoan
Chinese Super League
15.08.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Beijing Guoan	2:4 ✺
07.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Shenzhen Peng City	4:0 ✺
01.08.26	Beijing Guoan - Zhejiang Professional	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Chengdu Rongcheng - Beijing Guoan	2:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Dalian Kewei - Beijing Guoan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
21.03.26	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1
19.07.25	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua	1:3
01.03.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	2:2
Chinese FA Cup
22.08.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	2:1
Chinese Super League
04.08.24	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1
13.04.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan	1:1
19.08.23	Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1

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