Match Info
Super League - Round 18Date: 11 July 2026, SaturdayLocation: Shanghai Stadium (Shanghai)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 China | Migu |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Spain | Gol Play |
 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Shanghai Shenhua |
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Beijing Guoan |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.8 |
2.65 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
3.75 |
2.6 |
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 |
2.35 |
3.80 |
2.60 |
Watch |
 |
2.42 |
4.00 |
2.68 |
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2.31 |
4.13 |
2.57 |
Watch |
 |
2.35 |
3.90 |
2.60 |
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 |
2.45 |
3.81 |
2.66 |
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2.37 |
3.85 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.31) |
3.88 ↓
(3.98) |
2.63 ↑
(2.59) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Shanghai Shenhua
40.1% | Draw
24.2% | Beijing Guoan
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 2.5% – 64.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (1.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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19.  Asue L.
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27.  Chan Shinichi
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17.  Gao Tianyi
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3. Jin Shunkai
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13.  Manafa W.
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9.  Rafael Ratao
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33. Wang Haijian
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15. Wu Xi (C)
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1. Xue Qinghao (G)
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21. Xu Haoyang
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5. Zhu Chenjie
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| Substitutes |
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45. Han Jiawen
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36. Huang Ming
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24. Ma Zhen (G)
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2. Wang Shilong
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38. Wu Qipeng
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30. Xie Pengfei
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43. Yang Haoyu
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26. Yang Shuai
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16. Yang Zexiang
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25. Zhu Yue
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| Coaches |
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.  Slutski L.
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Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 2.Currently, both teams are in excellent shape. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shanghai Shenhua won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:31. (average 1.4:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Shanghai Shenhua won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
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| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 19 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Chinese Super League | | | 21.03.26 | Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua | 1:1 | | 19.07.25 | Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua | 1:3 | | 01.03.25 | Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan | 2:2 | | Chinese FA Cup | | | 22.08.24 | Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan | 2:1 | | Chinese Super League | | | 04.08.24 | Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua | 2:1 | | 13.04.24 | Shanghai Shenhua - Beijing Guoan | 1:1 | | 19.08.23 | Beijing Guoan - Shanghai Shenhua | 2:1 |
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