Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 25 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Chooka Talesh		Khalij Fars Mahshahr

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.87	2
	3.3	2.5	2.22
	3.89	3.11	1.88
	3.78	3.13	1.94
	4.7	2.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (2.39)	2.88 ↑ (2.61)	1.98 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chooka Talesh
23.3%

Draw
31.2%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
45.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

34.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

33%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chooka Talesh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chooka Talesh's form might have worsened.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Khalij Fars Mahshahr's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chooka Talesh than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chooka Talesh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khalij Fars Mahshahr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	6.7%	80%

Chooka Talesh - Khalij Fars Mahshahr Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Chooka Talesh will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Khalij Fars Mahshahr will win (votes: 12 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khalij Fars Mahshahr: 59.8% – 100%.

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Chooka Talesh has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Khalij Fars Mahshahr is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chooka Talesh
Iran Division 1
19.12.22	Chooka Talesh - Chadormalou Ardakan	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chooka Talesh	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Chooka Talesh - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Chooka Talesh	6:0 ✺
25.10.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Chooka Talesh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLLL
- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
19.12.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:0 ✺
18.11.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	SaiPa - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:1 ✺
31.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWLL

Chooka Talesh - Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Chooka Talesh - Khalij Fars Mahshahr Predictions

Preview

Form

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