Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 19 December 2022, Monday


	Khalij Fars Mahshahr		Shams Azar Qazvin

	1	X	2
	10	3.4	1.4
	9.6	3.5	1.35
	13.58	3.58	1.33
	10	3.4	1.43
	10	3.7	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.64 ↑ (7.02)	3.52 ↑ (3.36)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khalij Fars Mahshahr
8.5%

Draw
25.7%

Shams Azar Qazvin
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

26.2%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

24.7%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khalij Fars Mahshahr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Shams Azar Qazvin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khalij Fars Mahshahr than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shams Azar Qazvin than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Shams Azar Qazvin Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Khalij Fars Mahshahr will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Shams Azar Qazvin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Persian Gulf Pro League).

Khalij Fars Mahshahr is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Shams Azar Qazvin is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Shams Azar Qazvin is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Iran Division 1
18.11.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	1:0 ✺
12.11.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:0 ✺
06.11.22	SaiPa - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:1 ✺
31.10.22	Khalij Fars Mahshahr - Van Pars Naghshe Jahan	0:1 ✺
25.10.22	Fajr Sepasi - Khalij Fars Mahshahr	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWLLL
- Shams Azar Qazvin
Iran Division 1
18.11.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Chooka Talesh	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Chadormalou Ardakan - Shams Azar Qazvin	0:2 ✺
06.11.22	Van Pars Naghshe Jahan - Shams Azar Qazvin	2:2 ✺
31.10.22	Shams Azar Qazvin - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Shams Azar Qazvin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWL

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