Match Info
National League North - Round 26Date: 17 February 2026, TuesdayLocation: New Bucks Head (Telford)
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AFC Telford United |
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Chorley |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.8 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
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1.85 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
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1.89 |
3.81 |
3.65 |
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1.88 |
3.89 |
3.59 |
 Watch |
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1.95 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
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1.85 |
3.56 |
3.59 |
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1.85 |
3.75 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↓
(1.99) |
3.7 ↓
(3.77) |
3.53 ↑
(3.24) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
AFC Telford United
49.2% | Draw
24.8% | Chorley
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+1.6%)AFC Telford United - Chorley Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 0, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 58', 2 - 1, Henley A. ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 2, Lalkovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 14).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telford won 2.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Chorley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Chorley has had a series of home games. Telford will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Telford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Telford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Chorley: 1.12%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
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| 21 | AFC Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 06.09.25 | Chorley - AFC Telford United | 3:1 | | 31.01.23 | Chorley - AFC Telford United | 1:0 | | 06.08.22 | AFC Telford United - Chorley | 1:0 | | 23.04.22 | Chorley - AFC Telford United | 1:0 | | 21.08.21 | AFC Telford United - Chorley | 3:0 | | 17.11.20 | AFC Telford United - Chorley | 0:1 | | 06.04.19 | Chorley - AFC Telford United | 1:1 |
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✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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