Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 21

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Boston United		Chorley

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.4
	2.6	3.2	2.37
	2.65	3.4	2.45
	2.84	3.3	2.57
	2.84	3.16	2.57
	2.5	3.25	2.45
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	2.65	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.44)	3.26 ↓ (3.38)	2.46 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boston United
34.5%

Draw
28.2%

Chorley
37.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Boston United - Chorley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boston United won 1.

Recent matches Boston United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chorley is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Boston United won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 22-30.

Including matches at home between the teams Boston United won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-20.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League North
21.11.23	Boston United - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Coalville Town - Boston United	2:1 penalties ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Peterborough Sports - Boston United	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Boston United - Hereford	1:0 ✺
07.11.23	Farsley - Boston United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLWWL
- Chorley
English National League North
21.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Chorley - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English National League North
14.11.23	Chorley - Darlington	8:0 ✺
11.11.23	Chorley - Peterborough Sports	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Scarborough Athletic - Chorley	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
28.02.23	Chorley - Boston United	2:3
20.08.22	Boston United - Chorley	1:4
05.04.22	Chorley - Boston United	2:1
20.11.21	Boston United - Chorley	2:2
05.12.20	Boston United - Chorley	0:2
16.03.19	Boston United - Chorley	0:2
01.12.18	Chorley - Boston United	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boston United
English National League
31.10.26	Boston United - Scunthorpe United	✺
- Chorley
English National League North
31.10.26	Spennymoor Town - Chorley	✺

Boston United - Chorley