The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 32.2%
Draw 27.1%
Buxton 40.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.2%
26.2%
44.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
23.7%
40.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Chorley - Buxton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
36', 0 - 1, Tuntulwana S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Calveley M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Burton K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 3, Johnston J. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Blakeman A. ⚽,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 10th and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 1.
Chorley is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Buxton has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Buxton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Chorley has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:19 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chorley against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 11:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Buxton
14
7
2
5
26:23
3
23
11
Chorley
13
6
2
5
23:21
2
20
Last Results with these Odds
Buxton - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 44.56%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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