Match Info
National League North - Round 39Date: 14 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Victory Park (Chorley)
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Chorley |
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Buxton |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.9 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
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1.98 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
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2.02 |
3.36 |
3.67 |
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2.16 |
3.41 |
3.2 |
 Watch |
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2 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
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1.98 |
3.34 |
3.76 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.04) |
3.29 ↓
(3.5) |
3.56 ↑
(3.16) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chorley
46% | Draw
28.1% | Buxton
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+2.8%)Chorley - Buxton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Sampson J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 1, Burton ⚽,
- 74', 1 - 2, Johnston J. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Chorley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Chorley has had a series of away games. Chorley could have a small edge in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Chorley won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.5:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Chorley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
Outrights of English National League North for now
Buxton: 4.86% Chorley: 1.12%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 16 |
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| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Chorley - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.92%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Buxton - the odds 3.16 are the expected chance of winning is 28.93%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 18.10.25 | Buxton - Chorley | 3:2 | | 18.04.25 | Buxton - Chorley | 1:0 | | 04.02.25 | Chorley - Buxton | 3:0 | | 06.04.24 | Buxton - Chorley | 3:1 | | 12.12.23 | Chorley - Buxton | 3:2 | | 25.02.23 | Chorley - Buxton | 2:2 | | 10.01.23 | Buxton - Chorley | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
