The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Worcester City 36.8%
Draw 26.2%
Chorley 37%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
24.7%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.1%
24%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Worcester City - Chorley Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Worcester will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 1 - 0, Rowe L. ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1. Replay (first match was draw).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Worcester won 0.
In recent outings, Worcester has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Chorley is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Worcester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Worcester has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Worcester has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:11 (averaging 1.1:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Worcester against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
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