The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chorley 55.8%
Draw 25%
Macclesfield Town 19.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.5%
26.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
25%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chorley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chorley's performance.
Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Macclesfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chorley that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Macclesfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chorley - Macclesfield Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Hewitt C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Etaluku S. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Hewitt C. ⚽,
86', 2 - 2, Elliott D. ⚽,
90+5', 3 - 2, Smith H. ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Chorley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chorley is considered a favorite.
The teams have not played against each other recently.