Match Info

National League North - Round 7

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Macclesfield Town		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	5
	1.46	4.45	5.5
	1.5	4.5	5.64
	2.03	3.03	3.94	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.45	4.4	6.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.57)	4.12 ↑ (3.99)	5.44 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
60.1%

Draw
22.7%

Merthyr Town
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

23%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

21.9%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Macclesfield Town - Merthyr Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Macclesfield will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Merthyr will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Macclesfield Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 1 - 0, Elliott D. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Handley T. ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, Handley T. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Handley T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Macclesfield is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English National League North
30.08.25	Macclesfield Town - Darlington	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Spennymoor Town - Macclesfield Town	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Macclesfield Town - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Southport - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
16.08.25	Oxford City - Macclesfield Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTTWL
- Merthyr Town
English National League North
30.08.25	King`s Lynn Town - Merthyr Town	4:0 ✺
25.08.25	Merthyr Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Curzon Ashton - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
19.08.25	Merthyr Town - Marine	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Peterborough Sports - Merthyr Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW

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