Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Solihull Moors

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.5	3.5	2.55
	2.48	3.45	2.48
	2.55	3.41	2.55
	2.4	3.4	2.4
	2.52	3.44	2.52
	2.48	3.35	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.38)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	2.5 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
36.8%

Draw
26.7%

Solihull Moors
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

25.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

24.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Solihull Moors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Solihull Moors aligns with the current prediction.

Chorley - Solihull Moors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Chorley have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chorley won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Chorley won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
06.02.24	Chorley - Gloucester City	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Warrington Town - Chorley	2:1 ✺
30.01.24	Chorley - Alfreton Town	3:2 ✺
27.01.24	Chorley - Farsley	1:1 ✺
23.01.24	Chorley - Chester	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLWTL
- Solihull Moors
English National League
06.02.24	Halifax Town - Solihull Moors	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Solihull Moors - Altrincham	0:1 ✺
30.01.24	Solihull Moors - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1 ✺
27.01.24	Maidenhead United - Solihull Moors	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Solihull Moors - Nantwich Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
13.08.19	Chorley - Solihull Moors	1:6
English National League North
23.04.16	Solihull Moors - Chorley	0:2
03.10.15	Chorley - Solihull Moors	2:2
25.04.15	Chorley - Solihull Moors	0:0
18.10.14	Solihull Moors - Chorley	3:1

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