Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Victory Park (Chorley)


	Chorley		Warrington Rylands

	1	X	2
	1.57	4	4.33
	1.63	4.2	4.3
	1.63	4.77	4.34
	1.65	4.51	4.23	Watch
	1.65	3.8	4.5
	1.61	4.05	4.69
	1.63	4.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.39)	4.22 ↓ (4.72)	4.38 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chorley
57%

Draw
21.9%

Warrington Rylands
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.6%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

20.2%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chorley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chorley's form might have worsened.

Warrington Rylands has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Warrington Rylands's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chorley than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chorley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrington Rylands than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Warrington Rylands, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Chorley - Warrington Rylands Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Carr T. ⚽,
17', 1 - 1, Waring G. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Henley A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Waring G. ⚽,
58', 3 - 2, Sampson J. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Chorley is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Warrington Rylands is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Chorley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Chorley is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chorley
English National League North
30.11.24	Chorley - Curzon Ashton	0:3 ✺
26.11.24	Farsley - Chorley	0:1 ✺
23.11.24	Chester - Chorley	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Chorley - Marine	3:1 ✺
English National League North
09.11.24	Chorley - Leamington	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLWW
- Warrington Rylands
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Guiseley - Warrington Rylands	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Ilkeston	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	Scunthorpe United - Warrington Rylands	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Blyth Spartans	2:1 ✺
02.11.24	Warrington Rylands - Basford United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 TLWWW

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