Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 18

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Vorskla Poltava		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	3.85	2.98	2.02
	3.32	2.96	2.13
	3.79	3.07	2.01	Watch
	3.63	3.21	2.08
	3.5	2.9	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↓ (4.5)	3.02 ↓ (3.34)	2.06 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vorskla Poltava
25.3%

Draw
30.3%

Chornomorets Odesa
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

27.2%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

26.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vorskla Poltava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vorskla Poltava's performance.

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chornomorets Odesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vorskla Poltava than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vorskla Poltava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chornomorets Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vorskla Poltava - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lavuta K. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 11. Baydal A. 14. Chibueze P. 2. Dmytruk T. 21. Dvorovenko V. 97. Korablin T. 22. Potskhveria I. 5. Prikhna D. (C) 23. Shershen M. 7. Voytsekhovskyi V.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 77. Gerych V. 90. Hernandez L. 10. Kulach V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 18. Robakidze G. 30. Romanyuk Y. 6. Sklyar O. 39. Skyba Y. 3. Yermakov V.
Substitutes
47. Baginskyi N. A. 9. Burenko M. 29. Chervak V. 77. Chidomere A. 51. Grechko D. (G) 52. Krokhmal N. 32. Romanenko D. 43. Romanets E. 17. Semotyuk V. 99. Serdyuk A. 31. Vasetskyi B. (G)	24. Jarju M. 8. Jobe M. 9. Khoblenko O. 17. Kogut I. 95. Lopyryonok M. 23. Lunyov M. 13. Osman O. 7. Rusyn R. 80. Ryce A. 27. Sukhar T. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Andrushchenko M. ⚽,
11', 2 - 0, Prikhna D. ⚽,
21', Potskhveria I. 🟨,
22', Robakidze G. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 3 - 0, Korablin T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vorskla won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Vorskla has had a series of away games.

In this match, Chornomorets is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vorskla won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:11. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vorskla won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vorskla Poltava
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.11.25	UCSA - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Vorskla Poltava	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Vorskla Poltava - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWT
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.11.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
16.11.25	Nyva Ternopil - Chornomorets Odesa	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:2 ✺
26.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:0
Ukrainian Premier League
10.05.25	Vorskla Poltava - Chornomorets Odesa	1:2
08.11.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
09.03.24	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
27.08.23	Vorskla Poltava - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1
16.04.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Vorskla Poltava	0:1
08.10.22	Vorskla Poltava - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1

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