Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 10

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Chornomorets Odesa		Viktoriya Sumy

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.85
	1.6	3.37	5.04
	1.98	3.63	3.21	Watch
	1.59	3.5	5.34
	2.15	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.14)	3.47 ↑ (3.45)	4.27 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chornomorets Odesa
51.6%

Draw
26.7%

Viktoriya Sumy
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

25.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24.8%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chornomorets Odesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chornomorets Odesa's performance.

Viktoriya Sumy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viktoriya Sumy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chornomorets Odesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viktoriya Sumy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
97.8%	2.2%	0%

Chornomorets Odesa - Viktoriya Sumy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Chornomorets (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Chornomorets Odesa will win (44 of 45 users predict this - 97.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 93.48% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Chornomorets Odesa will win (31 of 31 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Chornomorets (votes: 32 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 77. Gerych V. 90. Hernandez L. 24. Jarju M. 34. Khacheridi Y. 19. Kogut M. 10. Kulach V. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 30. Romanyuk Y. 6. Sklyar O.	32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 77. Bogunov Y. 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 4. Dudnyk Y. 6. Khamelyuk V. 11. Lebedenko O. (C) 8. Palamar R. 28. Ryabyi D. 45. Sasovskyi M. 15. Yevpak M.
Substitutes
17. Kogut I. 42. Kozyr S. 4. Kratov M. 13. Osman O. 18. Robakidze G. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 80. Ryce A. 39. Skyba Y. 27. Sukhar T. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 3. Yermakov V. 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)	10. Knysh D. 16. Novotryasov A. 29. Ryabyi A. 19. Savitsky V. J. 25. Sharay S. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Rakitskyi Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Dedyaev A. ↓, Knysh D. ↑,
58', Knysh D. 🟨,
64', Palamar R. ↓, Sharay S. ↑,
64', Lebedenko O. ↓, Ryabyi A. ↑,
70', Rakitskyi Y. 🟨,
78', Khamelyuk V. 🟨,
79', Kogut M. ↓, Yermakov V. ↑,
79', Jarju M. ↓, Skyba Y. ↑,
79', Gabelok A. ↓, Sukhar T. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 9).

Chornomorets is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Viktoriya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chornomorets might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.25	Probiy Horodenka - Chornomorets Odesa	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Nyva Ternopil - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WTTWL

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