Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 9

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Probiy Horodenka		Chornomorets Odesa

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.75	1.47
	6.1	3.95	1.49
	7.03	3.88	1.43
	5.8	3.8	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.17 ↓ (7.4)	3.85 ↓ (4.5)	1.46 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Probiy Horodenka
14.7%

Draw
23.5%

Chornomorets Odesa
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

19.8%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8%

19.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Chornomorets Odesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chornomorets Odesa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Probiy Horodenka than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chornomorets Odesa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chornomorets Odesa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Probiy Horodenka - Chornomorets Odesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chornomorets (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Serdyuk R. (G) 3. Bilyi I. (C) 22. Gavrylyuk N. 16. Guk I. 6. Ivanychuk V. 15. Kharuk R. 10. Orynchak B. 5. Savchyn V. 7. Sikach M. 11. Sondey I. 17. Volynets D.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 28. Gabelok A. 77. Gerych V. 24. Jarju M. 34. Khacheridi Y. 19. Kogut M. 10. Kulach V. 13. Osman O. 44. Rakitskyi Y. (C) 30. Romanyuk Y. 3. Yermakov V.
Substitutes
90. Babanin V. 31. Borysevych R. 19. Dmytruk I. 23. Drekalo A. 8. Drygan B. 30. Felipovych V. 26. Golodryga R. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 77. Palagnyuk V. 44. Pasichnyk V. 9. Pylypchuk D. 2. Radulskyi V.	90. Hernandez L. 17. Kogut I. 4. Kratov M. 18. Robakidze G. 7. Rusyn R. 22. Ryazantsev Y. 39. Skyba Y. 27. Sukhar T. 71. Vichnyi Y. (G) 1. Yushchyshyn V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Yermakov V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 2, Kogut M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Probiy has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chornomorets is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Probiy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chornomorets is the undeniable favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
27.09.25	UCSA - Probiy Horodenka	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Vorskla Poltava	0:2 ✺
12.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Probiy Horodenka - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTLT
- Chornomorets Odesa
Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Ahrotekh Tyshkivka - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
20.09.25	Inhulets - Chornomorets Odesa	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Feniks-Mariupol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWWW

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