Match Info

K League 2 - Round 16

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Changwon Football Centre Stadium (Changwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Gyeongnam		Cheonan City

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.30	2.50	Watch
	2.45	3.10	2.50
	2.28	3.10	2.85
	2.64	3.49	2.75
	2.58	3.3	2.68	Watch
	2.40	3.50	2.75
	2.45	3.20	2.57	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.57)	3.27 ↑ (3.09)	2.65 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongnam
37.2%

Draw
28.1%

Cheonan City
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

29%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Cheonan City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheonan City than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Gyeongnam - Cheonan City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Cheonan City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cheonan City (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cheonan City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 27. Son Ho-Jun 39. Lucao 26. Choi Jung-Won (C) 18. Kim Seon-Ho 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 23. Kwon Gi-Pyo 66. Cho Sang-Jun 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 28. Kim Jun-Ho	33. Lee Seung-Kyu (G) 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 16. Kim Seong-Ju (C) 24. Kwon Yong-seung 27. Park Chang-Woo 99. Bruno Lamas 14. Koo J. 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 7. Lee Sang-Jun 47. Wu J. 11. Lee Ji-Hoon
Substitutes
2. Bae Hyun-Seo 4. Choi Seong-Jin 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 8. Lee Chan-Dong 99. Lee Jung-Min 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 6. Lim Eun-Su 7. Won Ki-Jong 24. Yun Il-Lok	97. Ivanildo 66. Jeong Ji-hwang 19. Jin Ui-jun 17. Lee Ji-Seung 9. Lee Joon-Ho 3. Lee Kwang-Jun 77. Lee Kyu-Min 20. Lee Sang-Yong 1. Park Ju-Won (G)
Coaches
Bae Sung-jae .	Park Jin-sub

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Wu J. ↓, Lee Joon-Ho ↑,
21', Lee Ji-Hoon 🟥,
24', Lee Bum-Soo ↓, Lee Ki-Hyun ↑,
44', Kim Seong-Ju 🟨,
45+5', Kwon Yong-seung 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Kwon Gi-Pyo ↓, Won Ki-Jong ↑,
46', Kim Jun-Ho ↓, Lim Eun-Su ↑,
59', Lucao 🟥,
71', Kim Seon-Ho 🟨,
73', Kim Seon-Ho ↓, Bae Hyun-Seo ↑,
73', Koo J. ↓, Lee Kyu-Min ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Cho Sang-Jun ⚽, Kim Jung-Hyeon (A),
84', 1 - 1, Bruno Lamas ⚽,
84', Lee Sang-Jun ↓, Ivanildo ↑,
84', Kim Seong-Ju ↓, Jin Ui-jun ↑,
90+2', Ivanildo 🟨,
90+11', 2 - 1, Won Ki-Jong ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Gyeongnam won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gyeongnam won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34
14	Cheonan City	26	4	11	11	30:37	-7	23

Last Results with these Odds

Gyeongnam - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
06.06.26	Gyeongnam - Yongin	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Hwaseong - Gyeongnam	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Gyeongnam - Gimhae	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TLWTW
- Cheonan City FC
South Korean K-League 2
07.06.26	Cheonan City - Suwon	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Ansan Greeners - Cheonan City	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Suwon Bluewings - Cheonan City	3:2 ✺
16.05.26	Cheonan City - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Busan I Park - Cheonan City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
23.11.25	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	2:0
26.07.25	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	4:0
24.05.25	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	3:1
05.10.24	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	3:1
28.07.24	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	3:3
07.04.24	Cheonan City - Gyeongnam	2:2
21.08.23	Gyeongnam - Cheonan City	1:1

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