Match Info

FRANCE: National - Round 34

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Petit (Châteauroux)


	Châteauroux		Cholet

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	3.9
	1.72	4	4
	1.76	4.05	4.34
	1.74	4.05	4.34
	1.7	3.75	3.9
	1.73	3.89	4.09	Watch
	1.7	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.89 ↑ (3.64)	4.1 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
53.7%

Draw
23.7%

Cholet
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

25.4%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Cholet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Châteauroux - Cholet Predictions

Users Predictions: Châteauroux will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Cognard B. (G) 29. Bengueddoudj Z. 8. Chraibi O. 24. Colella H. 34. Kabeya E. 20. Matondo G. 13. Mbengue A. 25. Mbia S. (C) 7. Mendy F. 10. Mille A. 19. Nomel L.	40. Ba O. (G) 10. Abdeldjelil O. 32. Dembele A. 2. Diop A. 17. Gameiro A. 21. Hafidi H. 15. Monzango N. 11. Ouattara M. 6. Renaud T. 25. Robinand J. 20. Thiam A.
Substitutes
30. Ba M. (G) 33. Bazola P. 4. Diarra T. 17. Fouda A. 27. Guyot B.	24. Diop A. 13. Guibert S. 12. Jarju Y. 7. Najim I. 5. Zekovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', Robinand J. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Chraibi O. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Monzango N. ⚽, Renaud T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', 1 - 2, Jarju Y. ⚽, Najim I. (A),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Cholet is Relegated to

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Châteauroux is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 3
10.05.24	Nancy - Châteauroux	1:3 ✺
03.05.24	Châteauroux - Villefranche	1:0 ✺
26.04.24	Châteauroux - Épinal	1:4 ✺
19.04.24	Avranches - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
12.04.24	Châteauroux - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- SO Cholet
French Ligue 3
10.05.24	Cholet - Avranches	0:2 ✺
03.05.24	Le Mans - Cholet	3:3 ✺
26.04.24	Cholet - Rouen FC	1:2 ✺
19.04.24	Martigues - Cholet	2:2 ✺
12.04.24	Cholet - Sochaux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
11.08.23	Cholet - Châteauroux	2:0
07.04.23	Châteauroux - Cholet	2:0
11.11.22	Cholet - Châteauroux	0:0
13.05.22	Cholet - Châteauroux	0:1
06.08.21	Châteauroux - Cholet	2:0
Coupe De France
02.12.17	Châteauroux - Cholet	5:3

Châteauroux - Cholet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide