Match Info

Date: 8 January 2021, Friday


	Châteauroux		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.35
	3.2	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.29
	3.29	3.19	2.41
	3.2	3.1	2.35	Watch
	3.2	3.14	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.18)	3.07 ↑ (2.96)	2.36 ↓ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
29.4%

Draw
30.7%

Guingamp
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

31.7%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

21.9%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Châteauroux have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Châteauroux, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	54.5%	27.3%

Châteauroux - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 6 - 18.2%). Guingamp will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 37.5% – 71.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Châteauroux has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Guingamp has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Châteauroux has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guingamp is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guingamp will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
05.01.21	Troyes - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
22.12.20	Châteauroux - Clermont	0:1 ✺
18.12.20	Rodez - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Châteauroux - Toulouse	0:3 ✺
05.12.20	Dunkerque - Châteauroux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
05.01.21	Guingamp - Amiens	2:2 ✺
22.12.20	Paris FC - Guingamp	3:2 ✺
18.12.20	Chambly - Guingamp	3:0 ✺
12.12.20	Guingamp - Valenciennes	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Toulouse - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
20.12.19	Châteauroux - Guingamp	1:5
Coupe De France
21.01.15	Guingamp - Châteauroux	2:0
French Ligue 2
08.02.13	Châteauroux - Guingamp	3:1
31.08.12	Guingamp - Châteauroux	2:1
18.05.12	Châteauroux - Guingamp	0:2

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