Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 27

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Bouille T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Guingamp		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.25	5.5
	1.51	4.51	6.26
	1.51	4.46	5.59	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.54	4.15	6.12	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.53)	4.15 ↓ (4.31)	5.63 ↑ (5.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Guingamp
61.1%

Draw
22.4%

Amiens
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

21.7%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

18.4%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Guingamp - Amiens Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 44.9% – 88.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Amiens (4.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 1 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Ortola A. (G) 22. Sissoko A. 36. Demouchy A. 18. Nair S. 29. Abdallah A. 11. Sagna A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 20. Hatchi J. 9. Mafouta L. 27. Kielt S.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 21. Roussillon J. 9. Mlakar J. 45. Fofana I. 6. Monconduit T. (C) 14. Leautey A. 11. Averlant T. 90. Ntamack S.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 21. Demoncy Y. 7. Gomis D. 2. Koffi E. 17. Mbemba F. 19. Samoura A.	10. Kandil N. 88. Kore Y. 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 19. Rafii Y. 29. Sane I. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Ielsch J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Kielt S. ⚽, Mafouta L. (A),
29', Lo A. 🟨,
45+3', Sidibe K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ntamack S. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
51', Monconduit T. 🟨,
55', Roussillon J. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
55', Mlakar J. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
64', Kielt S. ↓, Demoncy Y. ↑,
64', Sagna A. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
65', Hatchi J. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
69', Averlant T. ↓, Kandil N. ↑,
76', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
77', Monconduit T. ↓, Rafii Y. ↑,
82', Lutin R. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 2.

Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Amiens is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guingamp is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Inactive) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Ott G. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Amiens: Alvero S. (Red Card) Appiah A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Lobry V. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amiens: Kaiboue K. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Guingamp: 2.2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
06.03.26	Laval - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Guingamp - Rodez	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Le Mans - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Guingamp - Saint-Étienne	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLT
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
06.03.26	Boulogne - Amiens	4:2 ✺
02.03.26	Amiens - Troyes	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Reims - Amiens	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:4 ✺
09.02.26	Amiens - Clermont	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
22.11.25	Amiens - Guingamp	1:2
18.04.25	Amiens - Guingamp	3:2
22.11.24	Guingamp - Amiens	3:0
06.04.24	Guingamp - Amiens	0:0
02.09.23	Amiens - Guingamp	4:1
15.04.23	Guingamp - Amiens	3:1
10.01.23	Amiens - Guingamp	1:1

Upcoming Matches