Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Guingamp		Valenciennes

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.55	3.5	7
	1.53	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.54	3.76	8
	1.55	3.76	7.91
	1.5	3.6	7.5
	1.58	3.68	6.85	Watch
	1.54	3.6	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.65)	3.66 ↓ (3.68)	7.31 ↑ (5.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
61.3%

Draw
25.8%

Valenciennes
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

25.8%

16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

24.7%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Valenciennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valenciennes than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Guingamp - Valenciennes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Valenciennes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Basilio E. (G) 27. Sivis M. 7. Gomis D. 24. Lemonnier P. 31. Maronnier L. 22. Lobry V. 4. Louiserre D. 9. El Ouazzani A. 10. Merghem M. 20. Picard H. 21. Guillaume B.	16. Louchet J. (G) 36. Blancquart G. 44. Kayi Sanda J. 15. Woudenberg L. 3. Basse S. 8. Banse S. 6. Masson J. (C) 96. Flamarion 93. Knockaert A. 20. Hamache I. 18. Jung A.
Substitutes
29. Bonnet U. 15. Manceau V. 30. Niasse B. (G) 18. Phiri L. 2. Roux B. 11. Sagna A. 17. Siwe J.	30. Diabate L. (G) 9. Doucoure S. 59. Foe Ondoa M. 34. Lilepo M. 13. Moursou J. 90. Oyewusi M. 2. Sabanovic H.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Kantari A.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Guingamp is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
09.03.24	Concarneau - Guingamp	2:3 ✺
02.03.24	Guingamp - Troyes	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Bordeaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Guingamp - Caen	1:0 ✺
10.02.24	Ajaccio - Guingamp	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLWL
- Valenciennes FC
French Ligue 2
09.03.24	Valenciennes - Angers	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auxerre - Valenciennes	0:0 ✺
Coupe De France
28.02.24	Rouen FC - Valenciennes	1:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
24.02.24	Valenciennes - Rodez	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Dunkerque - Valenciennes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.08.23	Valenciennes - Guingamp	0:0
11.02.23	Guingamp - Valenciennes	3:1
15.10.22	Valenciennes - Guingamp	1:0
08.01.22	Valenciennes - Guingamp	1:1
31.07.21	Guingamp - Valenciennes	1:1
17.04.21	Valenciennes - Guingamp	0:1
12.12.20	Guingamp - Valenciennes	1:1

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