Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Châteauroux		Paris FC

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.35
	3.15	3	2.35	Watch
	3.15	3	2.27
	3.34	3.21	2.37
	3.3	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.42	3	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)	3.04 ↑ (2.98)	2.33 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
28.9%

Draw
30.8%

Paris FC
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

31.4%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

23.9%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paris FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	14.7%	50%

Châteauroux - Paris FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 12 - 35.3%). Paris FC will win (votes: 17 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 33.2% – 66.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1).

Châteauroux has a chance of relegated (19%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Paris FC has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

Recent matches Châteauroux is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paris FC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
17.10.20	Le Havre - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Châteauroux - Niort	2:0 ✺
26.09.20	Chambly - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
19.09.20	Châteauroux - Amiens	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Valenciennes - Châteauroux	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLTL
- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
17.10.20	Paris FC - Pau	1:0 ✺
03.10.20	Paris FC - Le Havre	3:0 ✺
26.09.20	Niort - Paris FC	2:2 ✺
19.09.20	Paris FC - Nancy	0:2 ✺
12.09.20	Amiens - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.10.19	Châteauroux - Paris FC	0:1
15.03.19	Châteauroux - Paris FC	0:1
19.10.18	Paris FC - Châteauroux	0:0
24.04.18	Paris FC - Châteauroux	0:0
28.11.17	Châteauroux - Paris FC	0:0
French Ligue 3
17.03.17	Châteauroux - Paris FC	0:5
30.09.16	Paris FC - Châteauroux	0:1

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