Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 7 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Charlety (Paris)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free


	Paris FC		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.2	5.5	Watch
	1.58	4.1	5.25
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.57	4.25	5.79
	1.55	4.21	5.47	Watch
	1.6	4	5
	1.59	4.32	5.65	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)	4.09 ↑ (3.69)	5.33 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris FC
59.5%

Draw
22.9%

Pau
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

25.1%

20.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	16%	12%

Paris FC - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Paris FC will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Pau will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nkambadio O. (G) 39. Tourraine M. 5. Mbow M. 15. Kolodziejczak T. (C) 28. De Smet T. 4. Marchetti V. 21. Lopez M. 7. Gory A. 10. Kebbal I. 20. Lopez J. 11. Krasso J.	1. Kamara B. (G) 2. Koudou T. 19. Kante 25. Ruiz J. 33. Kalulu J. 8. Lopy J. 7. Arconte T. 21. Beusnard S. 9. Mboup P. 17. Mille A. 10. Boutaib K.
Substitutes
27. Cafaro M. 17. Camara A. 31. Chergui S. 12. Dicko N. 8. Doucet L. 2. Ollila T. 1. Riou R. (G)	99. Bangre M. 18. Diawara K. 12. Gaspar J. 55. Jeannin M. (G) 4. Kouassi L.X. 6. Ngom O. 23. Obiang J.
Coaches
Gilli S.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mboup P. ⚽, Beusnard S. (A),
11', Mboup P. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Lopez J. ⚽, Marchetti V. (A),
35', Tourraine M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Krasso J. ⚽, Kebbal I. (A),
64', Lopy J. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
67', Lopez J. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
67', Gory A. ↓, Dicko N. ↑,
72', Marchetti V. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Cafaro M. ⚽, Lopez M. (A),
76', Mille A. 🟨,
79', Kalulu J. ↓, Obiang J. ↑,
83', Kebbal I. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
83', Lopez M. ↓, Ollila T. ↑,
87', Beusnard S. ↓, Kouassi L.X. ↑,
90+1', Cafaro M. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Paris FC is a favorite.

There will not play in Paris FC: Gueye L. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Paris FC won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:9 (average 0.5:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Paris FC won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris FC
French Ligue 2
01.02.25	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Paris FC - Red Star	4:1 ✺
18.01.25	Metz - Paris FC	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Paris FC - Amiens	1:0 ✺
03.01.25	Paris FC - Martigues	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
31.01.25	Pau - Laval	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Bastia - Pau	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	Red Star - Pau	1:3 ✺
10.01.25	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Metz - Pau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.11.24	Pau - Paris FC	0:0
10.02.24	Paris FC - Pau	1:1
19.08.23	Pau - Paris FC	2:0
31.01.23	Paris FC - Pau	0:1
26.12.22	Pau - Paris FC	0:1
19.03.22	Paris FC - Pau	1:1
16.10.21	Pau - Paris FC	1:0

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