Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 10

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay (Cianorte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cianorte		Paraná Clube Curitiba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.4
	2.13	2.7	3.7	Watch
	2.17	2.85	4.38
	2.09	2.87	3.82	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.6
	2	3.08	3.65	Watch
	2.13	2.7	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.88)	2.9 ↓ (3.35)	3.75 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cianorte
43.7%

Draw
31.7%

Paraná Clube Curitiba
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

27%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

26.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cianorte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Paraná Clube Curitiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cianorte, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paraná Clube Curitiba than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eugenio Neto (G) 4. Anderson Salles (C) 11. Clinton U. 5. Danrley 2. Gabriel Souza 10. Guilherme Belea 8. Joao Prado 6. Nicolas 7. Rian Felipe 9. Vinicius Silva 3. Wesley	23. da Silva Santos T. D. (G) 14. Diego Ivo 7. Diego Tavares 30. Felix Jorge (C) 28. Geilson 39. Joesley 8. Julio Rusch 6. Kevin 18. Leo Cesar 37. Leo Silva 27. Luiz Gustavo
Substitutes
15. Breno Augusto 19. Bruno Negueba 17. Dayvid 16. Didi D. 14. Euller 13. Handerson 21. Marcio Maranhao 18. Mikael Mendes 25. Morishige Y. 20. Pedro Ivo 23. Romailson 12. Tiepo (G)	31. Cassio 20. Danilo Nazare 33. Dias C. 32. Erik Bessa 1. Gabriel Gasparotto (G) 36. Joao Lucas 9. Leandro Pereira 38. Lucas Mazetti 34. Pato 11. Rikelmi 3. Tony Lucas 35. Wallace

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Geilson ↓, Dias C. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Wesley ⚽,
36', Leo Cesar 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Joesley ↓, Erik Bessa ↑,
46', Kevin ↓, Rikelmi ↑,
46', Joao Prado ↓, Pedro Ivo ↑,
49', Nicolas 🟨,
57', Julio Rusch ↓, Danilo Nazare ↑,
64', Leo Cesar ↓, Leandro Pereira ↑,
64', Vinicius Silva ↓, Mikael Mendes ↑,
64', Guilherme Belea ↓, Bruno Negueba ↑,
67', Pedro Ivo 🟨,
72', Danrley ↓, Breno Augusto ↑,
76', Breno Augusto 🟨,
81', 2 - 0, Mikael Mendes ⚽,
86', Clinton U. ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
90', Felix Jorge 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cianorte won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cianorte could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cianorte is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cianorte won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Cianorte won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
08.02.25	Andraus - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
05.02.25	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	2:2 ✺
02.02.25	Cianorte - Coritiba	4:1 ✺
28.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Rio Branco PR - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LTWTL
- Paraná Clube Curitiba
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
09.02.25	São-Joseense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Maringá	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Rio Branco PR - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1 ✺
29.01.25	Paraná Clube Curitiba - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
26.01.25	Londrina - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.22	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cianorte	1:2
22.05.22	Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
16.02.22	Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba	3:0
27.04.21	Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba	0:1
09.02.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cianorte	0:0
21.03.19	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Cianorte	1:2
04.03.18	Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:2

Cianorte - Paraná Clube Curitiba: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide