Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 10

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Héroe de Nacozari (Hermosillo)


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Mineros de Zacatecas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.7	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.8	3.63	2.42
	2.76	3.63	2.45
	2.7	3.5	2.2
	2.69	3.5	2.34	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.05)	3.5 ↑ (3.2)	2.33 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
34.1%

Draw
26.3%

Mineros de Zacatecas
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones de Sonora's form might have worsened.

Mineros de Zacatecas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mineros de Zacatecas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mineros de Zacatecas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Castro E. (G) 23. Reyes J. 3. Manriquez S. 4. Monreal E. 6. Arellano A. 17. Cisneros D. (C) 20. Navarro B. 14. Monarrez F. 11. Jimenez D. 7. Peralta J. 10. Tejeda D.	1. Duran L. (G) 5. Rodarte J. 14. Mazatan O. 23. Ruxi 8. Figueroa B. 10. Blanco J. (C) 18. Mendoza A. 22. Clemente J. 30. Jimenez J. 9. Razo L. 19. Magana K.
Substitutes
8. Acuna F. 26. Aguirre C. 9. Lopez J. 146. Meza F. 172. Orrantia E. 5. Reyna M. 24. Rodriguez J. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 86. Silva O. 134. Valenzuela J. (G)	11. Avila J. 27. Calero J. 21. Jaquez P. 117. Marmolejo D. 99. Mendez H. (G) 95. Pinon D. 6. Plascencia F. 17. Preciado A. O. 26. Urbina C. 20. Vasquez D.
Coaches
Hernandez R.	Castro N.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Play ~ In: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Cimarrones de Sonora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 25-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
10.03.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	2:4 ✺
29.02.24	Atlético Morelia - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tepatitlán de Morelos	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL
- Mineros de Zacatecas
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.03.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético La Paz	3:0 ✺
28.02.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cancún	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Venados - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
24.10.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
11.04.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:2
12.07.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	3:0
06.04.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1
02.11.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:3
07.04.21	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
29.09.20	Cimarrones de Sonora - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3

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