Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ciudad de los Deportes (Mexico City)

Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)


	Atlante		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.2	6.75
	1.38	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.38	4.59	7.3
	1.39	4.76	8.2
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.37	4.35	7.7	Watch
	1.39	4.3	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)	4.39 ↑ (4)	7.28 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlante
66.4%

Draw
20.9%

Cimarrones de Sonora
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

18.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlante's performance.

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cimarrones de Sonora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Hernandez H. (C) 4. Villanueva C. 27. Escobar A. 28. Elbis 7. Partida E. 8. Gonzalez R. 11. Lajud Martinez D. 14. Gonzalez R. 15. Cantu E. 34. Jimenez E. 9. Duran R.	30. Espinoza G. (G) 3. Manriquez S. 4. Monreal E. 23. Reyes J. 26. Aguirre C. 16. Lopez D. 17. Cisneros D. (C) 20. Navarro B. 9. Lopez J. 10. Tejeda D. 11. Jimenez D.
Substitutes
18. Bermudez C. 19. Cerna E. 3. Cruz D. 31. Forastiero N. (G) 13. Garcia Pardo M. 32. Lopez Gonzalez J. A. 16. Magana D. 5. Meza H. 2. Reyes F. 35. Sanchez A.	8. Acuna F. 6. Arellano A. 25. Castro E. (G) 158. Melendez J. 146. Meza F. 111. Molina P. 137. Montero Ramos E. I. 172. Orrantia E. 5. Reyna M. 86. Silva O.
Coaches
Garcia D. A.	Hernandez R.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlante won 1.

Recent matches Atlante is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cimarrones de Sonora is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Atlante is certain favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Atlante won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlante won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.24	Atlético La Paz - Atlante	0:0 ✺
31.01.24	Atlante - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	1:2 ✺
25.01.24	Cancún - Atlante	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Atlante	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Atlante - Celaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLTW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tlaxcala	1:2 ✺
23.01.24	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2 ✺
17.01.24	Dorados - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
09.01.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Leones Negros UdeG	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.11.23	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	4:2
15.11.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	2:0
13.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	0:0
24.01.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	1:0
08.09.22	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
13.03.22	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1
11.08.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	2:0

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