Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - CLAUSURA - ROUND 9

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Héroe de Nacozari (Hermosillo)

Referee: Barba A. (Mex)


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Cancún

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.6	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.74	3.15	2.85
	2.74	3.06	2.85
	2.6	3	2.6
	2.56	3.13	2.67	Watch
	2.6	3	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.06)	3.06 ↓ (3.6)	2.7 ↓ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
35.3%

Draw
30.3%

Cancún
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

24.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones de Sonora's form might have worsened.

Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones de Sonora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cancún, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Espinoza G. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 4. Monreal E. 23. Reyes J. 17. Cisneros D. 20. Navarro B. 14. Monarrez F. 8. Acuna F. 11. Jimenez D. 7. Peralta J. 172. Orrantia E.	21. Gutierrez G. (G) 23. Galindo B. (C) 26. Marin H. 6. Ortega W. 2. Padilla A. 22. Castillo R. 7. Alonzo J. 14. Vazquez J. 25. Tamay A. 28. Moreira J. 12. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
26. Aguirre C. 6. Arellano A. 25. Castro E. (G) 16. Lopez D. 9. Lopez J. 5. Reyna M. 24. Rodriguez J. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 86. Silva O. 10. Tejeda D.	11. Andani Gonzalez S. 1. Andrade C. (G) 9. Diaz J. 18. Eguade G. 84. Hernandez J. 3. Jimenez L. 17. Lorona L. 27. Traore C. 10. Uscanga P.
Coaches
Hernandez R.	Arce L.

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.02.24	Atlético Morelia - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tepatitlán de Morelos	4:0 ✺
18.02.24	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:0 ✺
07.02.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tapatío	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Cimarrones de Sonora - Tlaxcala	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWLLL
- Cancún FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
02.03.24	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	2:2 ✺
20.02.24	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cancún	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Cancún - Celaya	1:1 ✺
09.02.24	Leones Negros UdeG - Cancún	2:0 ✺
31.01.24	Correcaminos UAT - Cancún	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
19.09.23	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	5:2
24.03.23	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2
27.07.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	0:0
29.03.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	0:1
26.10.21	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
19.01.21	Cancún - Cimarrones de Sonora	0:0
27.08.20	Cimarrones de Sonora - Cancún	2:1

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