The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 40.9%
Draw 23.9%
Columbus Crew 35.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
48.7%
23.3%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
24.3%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+10%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Cincinnati - Columbus Crew Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Columbus will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 11. Gidi S. 6. Malatini J. 15. Hadebe T. 23. Doudera D. 5. Nwobodo O. 20. Bucha P. 3. Malacia T. 10. Evander (C) 16. Barlow T. 9. Denkey K.
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 2. Herrera A. 16. Habroune T. 20. Gomes A. 11. Lennon B. 10. Mendez B. 33. Tapia G. 8. Rodriguez S.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 66. Echenique E. 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 17. Mboma K. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 24. Smith K. 22. Valenzuela G.
3. Bailly E. 17. Bangoura S. 7. Chambost D. 23. Farsi M. 26. Giaccone L. 1. Hagen N. (G) 77. Martinez J. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Noonan P.
Courtois L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Malatini J. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
22', 0 - 1, Tapia G. ⚽, Mendez B. (A),
28', Gidi S. 🟨,
31', Hadebe T. 🟨,
45+7', Gomes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mendez B. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Habroune T. ⚽, Tapia G. (A),
59', Doudera D. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
59', Barlow T. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
65', Rodriguez S. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
66', Habroune T. ↓, Chambost D. ↑,
66', Moreira S. ↓, Bailly E. ↑,
79', Hagglund N. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
79', Bucha P. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
79', Tapia G. ↓, Giaccone L. ↑,
90+3', Chambost D. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 9th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.
In recent outings, Cincinnati has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Columbus is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Cincinnati: Martinez J.
(Knee Injury)
Robinson M.
(Injury).
Confirmed absences for Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Knee Injury)
Camacho R.
(Chest Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cincinnati has recorded 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:41 (averaging 1.2:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cincinnati against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 17:22 goals (averaging 1.4:1.8 per game).
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Celentano R. (G) 
Gidi S. 
Malatini J. 
Hadebe T. 
Doudera D. 
Nwobodo O. 
Malacia T. 
Evander (C) 
Denkey K. 
Moreira S. 
Amundsen M. 
Gomes A. 
Mendez B. 
Tapia G. 
Rodriguez S. 
Anunga T. 
Echenique E. 
Jabbari A. 
Mboma K. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
Bailly E. 
Bangoura S. 
Farsi M. 
Hagen N. (G) 
Thiare J. 
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