The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Houston Dynamo 47.5%
Draw 24.7%
Cincinnati 27.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
23.5%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
23.1%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
33.3%
0%
Houston Dynamo - Cincinnati Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 36. Felipe Andrade 3. Antonio Carlos 5. Lucas Halter (C) 21. Negri F. 11. Ennali L. 6. Artur 16. Herrera H. 19. Bogusz M. 20. Guilherme 30. Bouzat A.
18. Celentano R. (G) 12. Robinson M. 4. Hagglund N. 11. Gidi S. 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 5. Nwobodo O. 17. Mboma K. (C) 22. Valenzuela G. 9. Denkey K. 10. Evander
Substitutes
24. Aliyu I. 22. Arana M. 35. Erb L. (G) 26. Gillingham B. (G) 14. Holmes D. 17. Markanich N. 23. McGuire D. 37. Rivera G. 18. Samassekou D.
16. Barlow T. 88. Chirila A. 14. Fletcher K. 15. Hadebe T. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 2. Powell A. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 24. Smith K.
Coaches
Olsen B.
Noonan P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Guilherme ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 2 - 0, Bogusz M. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Echenique E. ↓, Ramirez Leon B. J. ↑,
55', Nwobodo O. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
55', Hagglund N. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
68', Bouzat A. ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Ramirez Leon B. J. ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
82', Ennali L. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
82', Herrera H. ↓, Arana M. ↑,
85', Bucha P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
88', Valenzuela G. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
90+5', Guilherme ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Denkey K. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 2nd in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals) and 10th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Houston may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Houston is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Houston: Foster L.
(Inactive)
Maurer J.
(Concussion).
Doubtful / questionable for Houston: Saracchi M.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Houston has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:6 (averaging 1.3:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Houston against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.
Outrights of MLS for now
Houston Dynamo: 4.57% FC Cincinnati: 2%
Last Results with these Odds
Houston Dynamo - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 52%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.
Cincinnati - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.52%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Bond J. (G) 
Felipe Andrade 
Negri F. 
Ennali L. 
Herrera H. 
Bogusz M. 
Celentano R. (G) 
Gidi S. 
Echenique E. 
Bucha P. 
Nwobodo O. 
Mboma K. (C) 
Denkey K. 
Samassekou D. 
Hadebe T. 
Jabbari A. 
Powell A. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
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