The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cincinnati 43.8%
Draw 23.1%
Charlotte 33.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.3%
22.2%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
22.9%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cincinnati's form might have worsened.
Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Charlotte's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cincinnati, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Charlotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Cincinnati - Charlotte Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Charlotte will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 12. Robinson M. (C) 4. Hagglund N. 88. Chirila A. 66. Echenique E. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 11. Gidi S. 17. Mboma K. 9. Denkey K. 16. Barlow T.
1. Kahlina K. (G) 35. Cleary W. 22. Kessler H. 3. Ream T. (C) 14. Byrne N. 28. Diani D. 16. Biel P. 17. de la Torre L. 11. Abada L. 9. Toklomati I. 10. Saint-Maximin A.
Substitutes
19. Chirila S. 14. Fletcher K. 15. Hadebe T. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 2. Powell A. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 24. Smith K.
44. Agyemang M. 37. Aloko R. 13. Bronico B. 20. Coulibaly B. 21. Miller T. (G) 39. Neeley J. 4. Privett A. 71. Richmond N. 25. Smalls T.
Coaches
Noonan P.
Smith D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Bucha P. ⚽, Barlow T. (A),
7', 1 - 1, Abada L. ⚽,
17', 1 - 2, Biel P. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Abada L. ↓, Aloko R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Denkey K. ⚽, Chirila A. (A),
55', 2 - 3, Toklomati I. ⚽,
56', Barlow T. ↓, Ramirez Leon B. J. ↑,
70', de la Torre L. ↓, Bronico B. ↑,
74', Chirila A. ↓, Fletcher K. ↑,
74', Hagglund N. ↓, Hadebe T. ↑,
76', Gidi S. 🟨,
77', Cleary W. ↓, Agyemang M. ↑,
78', Toklomati I. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
81', Mboma K. 🟨,
83', Aloko R. 🟨,
85', Gidi S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
85', Mboma K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 3, Denkey K. ⚽, Ramirez Leon B. J. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 0.
In recent matches, Cincinnati has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Charlotte is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Charlotte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Cincinnati is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Charlotte: Berchimas N.
(Foot Injury)
John A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Toffolo H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Westwood A.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Charlotte: Goodwin A.
(Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
Outrights of MLS for now
FC Cincinnati: 2%
Last Results with these Odds
Cincinnati - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.27%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.