Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)


	Cincinnati		Portland Timbers

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.57	4.1	5.5
	1.55	4.2	5.6
	1.61	4.26	5.69
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.56	4.25	5.5	Watch
	1.53	4.4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.59)	4.2 ↑ (4.13)	5.52 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
60.3%

Draw
22.6%

Portland Timbers
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

22.5%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

21.6%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Cincinnati - Portland Timbers Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Portland will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Cincinnati has the most likely position - 1 (19.84%), project points - 56, currently - 17, a good chance of playoffs (90%), a small chance of supporters shield (8%), a small chance of win league (6%).

Portland has the most likely position - 13 (10.92%), project points - 42, currently - 8, a chance of playoffs (50%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 41, small importance 16, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Cincinnati is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Portland is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cincinnati is a favorite.

There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Injury) Vermeer K. (Injury)

There will not play in Portland: Mora F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Portland: Blanco S. (Knee Injury) Chara Y. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cincinnati won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
15.04.23	St. Louis City - Cincinnati	5:1 ✺
08.04.23	Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Nashville SC - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Chicago Fire - Cincinnati	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 LWWWT
- Portland Timbers
MLS
15.04.23	Portland Timbers - Seattle Sounders	4:1 ✺
08.04.23	Vancouver Whitecaps - Portland Timbers	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	FC Dallas - Portland Timbers	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Portland Timbers - Los Angeles Galaxy	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Atlanta United - Portland Timbers	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
28.07.20	Portland Timbers - Cincinnati	2:1 penalties
17.03.19	Cincinnati - Portland Timbers	3:0

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