Match Info

MLS

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: TQL Stadium (Cincinnati, OH) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Da Silva A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:30	MLS Season Pass
International	23:30	Apple TV International


	Cincinnati		Inter Miami

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.05	Watch
	3.05	4.15	2.08	Watch
	3.07	4.15	2.13
	3.03	3.97	2.1	Watch
	2.9	3.8	2.05
	3.11	4.21	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	4.05 ↑ (3.81)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cincinnati
31.3%

Draw
23.4%

Inter Miami
45.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.5%

24.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

25.4%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Inter Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Cincinnati aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Inter Miami than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Cincinnati - Inter Miami Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Inter Miami will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter Miami: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Celentano R. (G) 24. Smith K. 21. Miazga M. 12. Robinson M. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 10. Evander 11. Gidi S. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 9. Denkey K. 17. Mboma K.	97. St.Clair D. (G) 17. Fray I. 2. Lujan G. 16. Micael 3. Reguilon S. 7. de Paul R. 42. Bright Y. 8. Segovia T. 10. Messi L. (C) 9. Suarez L. 19. Berterame G.
Substitutes
27. Anunga T. 16. Barlow T. 88. Chirila A. 66. Echenique E. 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 55. Lajhar A. 13. Louro E. (G) 5. Nwobodo O.	76. Abadia-Reda C. 22. Ayala D. 37. Falcon M. 4. Mura F. 56. Pinter D. 59. Plambeck P. 34. Rios R. (G) 41. Ruiz D. 24. Silvetti M.
Coaches
Noonan P.	Hoyos G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Messi L. ⚽,
38', Fray I. 🟨,
40', Lujan G. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Denkey K. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 4)
49', 2 - 1, Bucha P. ⚽, Ramirez Leon B. J. (A),
55', 2 - 2, Messi L. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
60', Gidi S. ↓, Echenique E. ↑,
64', 3 - 2, Evander ⚽, Denkey K. (A),
65', Reguilon S. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
72', Robinson M. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
73', Mboma K. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
73', Miazga M. ↓, Chirila A. ↑,
76', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
77', Bright Y. 🟨,
77', Suarez L. ↓, Silvetti M. ↑,
79', 3 - 3, Silvetti M. ⚽, Messi L. (A),
84', 3 - 4, Berterame G. ⚽,
87', Bucha P. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
87', Chirila A. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
89', 3 - 5, Messi L. ⚽, Silvetti M. (A),
90+4', Evander 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Inter Miami could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Cincinnati: Hadebe T. (Leg Injury) Jabbari A. (Leg Injury) Powell A. (Injury)

There will not play in Inter Miami: Fray I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Inter Miami: Abadia-Reda C. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cincinnati won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cincinnati won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).

Outrights of MLS for now

Inter Miami: 10.86% FC Cincinnati: 1.7%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cincinnati
MLS
09.05.26	Charlotte - Cincinnati	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Chicago Fire - Cincinnati	2:3 ✺
25.04.26	Cincinnati - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	New York City - Cincinnati	4:4 ✺
18.04.26	Cincinnati - Chicago Fire	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TWWTT
- Inter Miami
MLS
09.05.26	Toronto FC - Inter Miami	2:4 ✺
02.05.26	Inter Miami - Orlando City	3:4 ✺
25.04.26	Inter Miami - New England Revolution	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Real Salt Lake - Inter Miami	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Inter Miami	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
23.11.25	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	0:4
26.07.25	Inter Miami - Cincinnati	0:0
16.07.25	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	3:0
24.08.24	Inter Miami - Cincinnati	2:0
06.07.24	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	6:1
07.10.23	Inter Miami - Cincinnati	0:1
US Open Cup
23.08.23	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	3:4 penalties

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