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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire 55%
Draw 22.1%
Cincinnati 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.1%
25%
21.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.1%
23.7%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
12.5%
25%
Chicago Fire - Cincinnati Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chicago will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brady C. (G) 24. Dean J. 4. Mbokazi M. 3. Elliott J. (C) 15. Gutman A. 42. D'Avilla D. 6. Saletros A. 11. Zinckernagel P. 17. Lod R. 7. Haile-Selassie M. 9. Cuypers H.
18. Celentano R. (G) 24. Smith K. 88. Chirila A. 11. Gidi S. 20. Bucha P. 22. Valenzuela G. 27. Anunga T. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 10. Evander (C) 17. Mboma K. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
19. Bamba J. 27. Borso D. 44. Cohen J. (G) 12. Dithejane P. 35. Oregel S. 22. Pineda M. 14. Radojevic V. 20. Shokalook J. 16. Waterman J.
16. Barlow T. 66. Echenique E. 3. Flores G. 4. Hagglund N. 99. Jabbari A. 37. Jimenez S. 55. Lajhar A. 13. Louro E. (G) 21. Miazga M.
Coaches
Berhalter G.
Noonan P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Cuypers H. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Evander ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, Cuypers H. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
31', 2 - 2, Evander ⚽, Mboma K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Anunga T. ↓, Hagglund N. ↑,
56', Smith K. 🟥,
59', Lod R. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
66', Valenzuela G. ↓, Miazga M. ↑,
68', Denkey K. 🟨,
77', Mboma K. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
77', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
88', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Lajhar A. ↑,
90', Lajhar A. 🟨,
90+1', Cuypers H. (Penalty Awarded),
90+3', D'Avilla D. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 3, Evander (Penalty Awarded),
90+8', Dean J. ↓, Shokalook J. ↑,
90+12', Chirila A. 🟨,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
Chicago is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Cincinnati has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cincinnati may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Chicago is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Franco A.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K.
(Knee Injury)
Miazga M.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Chicago: Bamba J.
(Personal Reasons)
Borso D.
(Injury)
Mueller C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Cincinnati: Robinson M.
(Leg Injury)
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.5:1.8).
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Brady C. (G) 
Mbokazi M. 
Elliott J. (C) 
D'Avilla D. 
Saletros A. 
Zinckernagel P. 
Lod R. 
Haile-Selassie M. 
Cuypers H. 
Gidi S. 
Bucha P. 
Anunga T. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
Evander (C) 
Mboma K. 
Denkey K. 
Radojevic V. 
Waterman J. 
Echenique E. 
Flores G. 
Jabbari A. 
Lajhar A. 
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