Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis)

Referee: Szpala L. (Usa)


	St. Louis City		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.3	3.45	2.95
	2.42	3.64	2.95
	2.3	3.3	3
	2.33	3.56	2.88	Watch
	2.4	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.19)	3.46 ↑ (3.42)	2.93 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
40.4%

Draw
27.3%

Cincinnati
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

27.3%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

26.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

St. Louis City - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

St. Louis City has the most likely position - 10 (9.72%), project points - 44, currently - 15, a good chance of playoffs (59%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Cincinnati has the most likely position - 1 (26.64%), project points - 59, currently - 17, a good chance of playoffs (94%), a small chance of supporters shield (13%), a small chance of win league (7%).

This event has quality 36, small importance 16, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches St. Louis City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cincinnati is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Nilsson J. (Injury)

There will not play in Cincinnati: Kubo Y. (Injury) Vermeer K. (Injury)

There are questionable in St. Louis City: Alm R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Nwobodo O. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
08.04.23	Seattle Sounders - St. Louis City	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	St. Louis City - Minnesota United	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Real Salt Lake - St. Louis City	0:4 ✺
18.03.23	St. Louis City - San Jose Earthquakes	3:0 ✺
11.03.23	Portland Timbers - St. Louis City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LLWWW
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
08.04.23	Cincinnati - Philadelphia Union	1:0 ✺
01.04.23	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	1:0 ✺
25.03.23	Nashville SC - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
18.03.23	Chicago Fire - Cincinnati	3:3 ✺
11.03.23	Cincinnati - Seattle Sounders	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWTW

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