The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cipolletti 50.4%
Draw 31.3%
Alvarado 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
32.2%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
31.8%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cipolletti's performance.
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvarado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cipolletti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+12.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvarado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cipolletti - Alvarado Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crespo F. (G) 9. Acevedo F. 8. Almiron A. 3. Garcia N. T. 2. Gonzalez C. 11. Lucero G. 6. Manchafico V. 7. Peralta M. 5. Perez M. 4. Piro Y. 10. Vella L.
1. Bilbao E. (G) 2. Centurion F. 9. Cervera G. 8. Chiozza L. 5. Federico T. 4. Fernandez T. 6. Gorgerino C. 10. Gutierrez S. 7. Makarte R. 3. Nunez L. 11. Speck N.
Substitutes
14. Garcia B. 15. Gutierrez L. 16. Lopez M. 20. Luna N. 18. Obregon B. 17. Pettineroli F. 13. Trejo N. 19. Vallejos E. 12. Veron A. (G)
13. Berra T. 14. Echeverria L. 15. Hofstetter P. J. 16. Miori M. 18. Ostachi M. 20. Perez M. 17. Pinoni F. 19. Sosa G. 12. Zapata A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', 🟨,
21', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
28', Acevedo F. 🟥,
29', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
70', 🟨,
80', Sosa G. 🟥,
85', 1 - 0, Gonzalez C. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
Cipolletti is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Alvarado have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this matchup, Cipolletti is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cipolletti has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cipolletti against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).
Argentina
Watch
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Crespo F. (G) 
Ostachi M. 
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