The best margin for this event is 14.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cipolletti 41.7%
Draw 31.8%
Alvarado 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.1%
32.2%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
31.8%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
First leg.
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
Cipolletti has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Alvarado have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cipolletti holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Cipolletti has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cipolletti against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:1 goals (averaging 0.5:0.5 per game).