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Current Win Probability
Cipolletti 68.5%
Draw 22.3%
Sol de América de Formosa 9.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.7%
23.7%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.4%
24.4%
14.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cipolletti's performance.
Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de América de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cipolletti that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+5%)
Cipolletti - Sol de América de Formosa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Crespo F. (G) 9. Acevedo F. 8. Almiron A. 3. Garcia N. T. 2. Gonzalez C. 11. Lucero G. 6. Manchafico V. 7. Peralta M. 5. Perez M. 4. Piro Y. 10. Vella L.
1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 11. Cabanas J. 9. Di Martino B. 10. Jimenez S. 4. Lopez Alba R. 7. Mendoza F. M. 6. Ojeda M. 2. Pardo F. 8. Romero J. 3. Villasanti A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (4 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Acevedo F. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Almiron A. ⚽,
13', 🟨,
21', 3 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
32', 4 - 0, Peralta M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cabanas J. ↓, Britez G. ↑,
50', Peralta M. ↓, Luna N. ↑,
56', 4 - 1, Mendoza F. M. ⚽,
61', 5 - 1, Lucero G. ⚽,
66', 6 - 1, Vallejos E. ⚽,
67', Ojeda M. ↓, Medeiro E. ↑,
81', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs and 3rd in the Promotion - Torneo Federal Playoffs).
Cipolletti has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Sol de América is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sol de América may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Cipolletti has faced a series of away games on the road.
The betting markets point to Cipolletti as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cipolletti has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cipolletti against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.