The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sol de América de Formosa 51.6%
Draw 30.3%
Sportivo Belgrano 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
32%
31.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
30.7%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sol de América de Formosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sol de América de Formosa's performance.
Sportivo Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Belgrano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sol de América de Formosa that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Belgrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Astrada M. (G) 5. Alcaraz A. 11. Cabanas J. 9. Di Martino B. 10. Jimenez S. 4. Lopez Alba R. 7. Mendoza F. M. 6. Ojeda M. 2. Pardo F. 3. Pietkiewicz F. 8. Romero J.
1. Carena J. (G) 4. Beltran C. 9. Bono J. 5. Caviglia J. (C) 8. Churchi S. 2. Ferrero G. 10. Franceschi E. 3. Gancedo M. 7. Lehmann A. 6. Pennesi T. 11. Tarifa G.
Substitutes
12. Arce L. M. (G) 13. Medeiro E. 19. Medina A. 16. Mendoza M. 15. Olmedo F. 17. Olmedo M. 18. Paredes F. 20. Sosa J. 14. Villasanti A.
14. Borghetto I. 16. Cortese B. 20. Lesman G. 19. Mercado E. 12. Paccioretti A. (G) 13. Paiz J. 18. Pastorelli A. 15. Quaranta M. 17. Zamudio F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Di Martino B. ⚽,
40', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, Jimenez S. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Sol de América has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sportivo Belgrano has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sol de América may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sol de América has had a series of away games.
Sol de América could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Sol de América won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Watch
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Astrada M. (G) 
Cabanas J. 
Ferrero G. 
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