Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Fortin (Rawson)


	Germinal		Cipolletti

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.7	2.4
	3.5	2.85	2.15	Watch
	2.95	2.67	2.47
				Watch
	3.35	2.86	2.22
	3.5	2.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.8)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.28 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germinal
27.9%

Draw
32.4%

Cipolletti
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

31.2%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

31.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germinal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Cipolletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germinal than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cipolletti than the current prediction. (-3%)

Germinal - Cipolletti Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cipolletti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Velazquez F. (G) 4. Ponce A. 2. Barro J. 6. Palavecino A. 3. Teran I. (C) 8. Perez I. 5. Gimenez F. 10. Villalba L. 11. Santilli E. 7. Galabert E. 9. Bortoli G.	1. Crespo F. (G) 4. Trejo N. 2. Langa J. 6. Marin Y. 3. Garcia N. T. 8. Almiron A. 5. Stancato A. 10. Mellado L. 11. Lucero G. 7. Ibarra C. 9. Paez M.
Substitutes
18. Barra T. 17. Carcamo F. 13. Ibarlucea N. 14. Moron G. 12. Nievas M. (G) 16. Parra J. 15. Veloso L.	13. Cabezas L. 18. Dominguez M. 15. Jara S. 17. Mbombaj G. 14. Ranquehue S. 16. Vallejos E. 12. Veron A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Perez I. 🟨,
42', Langa J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
80', Villalba L. ↓, Parra J. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Vallejos E. ⚽,
89', 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Germinal has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cipolletti is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Germinal won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Germinal
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.25	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - Germinal	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Germinal - Deportivo Rincón	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Germinal - Santamarina de Tandil	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Germinal	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Germinal - Círculo Deportivo	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WLTTL
- Club Cipolletti
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.25	Cipolletti - Santamarina de Tandil	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Kimberley de Mar del Plata - Cipolletti	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Cipolletti - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Villa Mitre - Cipolletti	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Cipolletti - Guillermo Brown	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
07.07.24	Cipolletti - Germinal	1:1
11.05.24	Germinal - Cipolletti	1:1
08.10.23	Cipolletti - Germinal	2:2
06.08.23	Germinal - Cipolletti	0:0
18.06.23	Cipolletti - Germinal	1:0

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